logo

English
                 

How to explain Greece (European sovereign debt crisis) to a complete idiot or to a politician

by Simon Black

Let’s pretend for a moment that Greece is a human being. I’ll call him George.

George (=Greece) is a hairdresser and makes $40,000 per year. George has limited assets. He has zero savings, no precious metals, and is way underwater on his mortgage. His credit card debt is over $100,000, and his bare minimum living expenses are $45,000 annually, over 10% more than he makes. George’s credit is pitiful, and he cannot obtain any more new loans.

George’s neighbor Hans (=Germany and France) has a big family. All the kids work hard and contribute to the family savings. Hans sees George’s plight and decides the neighborhood has to stick together; he starts loaning George some money out of his family’s savings, and eventually begins to take on more and more of George’s personal debts.

Many of the other neighbors– Luciano (=Italy), Seamus (=Portugal), and Juan (=Spain) – are in the same boat as George: drowning in debt with massive personal expenses and no hope to pay them back.

Everyone is looking to Hans for help. He’s the responsible one in the neighborhood. Now, Hans doesn’t want them all to go bust because he knows it would be bad for the neighborhood property values… but Hans’s children (=German people) are balking at the prospect of working hard on their newspaper routes just so that George can keep his plasma screen TV.

Very soon, George is going to run out of options and will have to have a difficult conversation with his credit card companies. In the real world, there is no other choice.

In the pretend world of politics, however, European leaders have been able to convince everyone that it’s all under control. Never mind that the whole situation has completely fractured capital markets; traditional valuation metrics have taken a back seat to rumors of secret meetings and loud talk of bailout plans.

Think about it: Dexia (=name of European bank) passed summer bank stress tests with flying colors. A couple of months later it’s going bust. How can markets function without confidence in balance sheet accuracy? Or whether a government will even be around tomorrow? This is kind of a problem when sovereign debt is the cornerstone of the financial system…

And yet, stock markets worldwide surged today on the news of a European ‘pledge’ to help banks.

Do yourself a favor and stop watching their lips move. These ‘plans’ are nothing more than lies and misdirection. Just like our friend George, a Greek default has to happen. Politicians can pretend whatever they want, but in the real world where we live, financial deadbeats have no other options.

No. Subject Date Author Last Update Views
Notice How to write your comments onto a webpage [2] 2016.07.06 운영자 2016.11.20 18167
Notice How to Upload Pictures in webpages 2016.07.06 운영자 2018.10.19 32309
Notice How to use Rich Text Editor [3] 2016.06.28 운영자 2018.10.19 5891
Notice How to Write a Webpage 2016.06.28 운영자 2020.12.23 43813
96 Hedging COVID; Go Short [1] 2020.10.15 온기철*71 2020.10.17 23105
95 [Economy] What is Fiscal Cliff ? [2] 2012.11.13 오종숙#Guest 2012.11.13 11602
94 California 에서 기차를 타고 여행한다? [3] 2012.07.07 민경탁*65 2012.07.07 6491
93 [경제] Jim Rogers가 바라보는 북괴와 일본의 붕괴 2013.10.15 Rover 2013.10.15 4632
92 Black Swan Events and Investment [2] 2011.03.05 이한중*65 2011.03.05 3396
91 Why the Dollar's Reign Is Near an End [3] 2011.03.03 운영자 2011.03.03 3372
» How to explain European sovereign debt crisis [2] 2011.10.19 운영자 2011.10.19 3327
89 What would happen in stock market as Fed increases interest rate? 2022.02.04 온기철*71 2022.02.06 770
88 Apple Electric Vehicle with Hyandai-Kia [3] 2021.02.03 온기철*71 2021.02.04 596
87 01회 코로나 이후 대한민국 길을 묻다. 실업 팬데믹 2020.05.18 온기철*71 2020.05.19 586
86 What is bitcoin and block chain? [9] 2018.01.18 온기철*71 2018.01.21 477
85 자본주의 - EBS 다큐프라임 자본주의 제1부 돈은 빚이다 [6] 2016.04.22 온기철*71 2016.04.22 422
84 Rule of 20: Why This Stock Market Drop Is a Buying Opportunity [4] file 2018.02.09 운영자 2018.02.11 363
83 Chinese Yuan; Special Drawing Rights(SDR or XDR), Bretton Woods system [1] 2015.12.05 온기철*71 2015.12.05 350
82 Is Banking system a Ponzi Scheme? [4] 2016.07.04 온기철*71 2016.07.05 323
81 Market rebounds; Fed and Treasury intervention work 2020.03.24 온기철*71 2020.03.24 293
80 The Appearance vs the Substance [3] 2020.04.13 온기철*71 2020.04.13 253
79 Capitalism is a shell game? Can we win? [4] 2016.04.24 온기철*71 2016.04.24 247
78 박종훈ㅡ세계화는 끝났다! 국제 경제 패권 전쟁 [5] 2022.06.28 운영자 2022.06.28 217
77 EBS 다큐프라임 자본주의 제4부 세상을 바꾼 위대한 철학들 2016.04.22 온기철*71 2016.04.22 197